COVID-19 Update-April 21

Dear Colleagues,

Thanks to those who have provided feedback. Please continue to do so.

Here is the current situation in the Caribbean:

Comments

The number of cases reported has increased in Jamaica, Bahamas, Haiti, Cayman Islands, Guyana.

Here are today’s interesting links:

Remember to check the Resources page on our website for key links.

Thank you.

Shubhash Gosine

The information on this page does not necessarily reflect the opinions, standards or policies of the CAA. Data included in graphs has been obtained from several sources the accuracy of which cannot be guaranteed by the CAA. The CAA assumes no responsibility or liability for the accuracy or completeness of content contained in any linked site.

COVID-19 Update-April 20

Dear Colleagues,

The SOA’s Medical and Epidemiological View of COVID-19 for the Insurance Industry Webcast will take place on 23rd or 24th April depending on your time zone. Registration closes today. You may register here.

Here is the current situation in the Caribbean:

CountryTotal CasesInfectedDeathsRecoveredDate of 1st reported case
World2,436,1191,631,950166,762637,4078th December
Jamaica19616452710th March
Bahamas604091115th March
Trinidad & Tobago1148582112th March
Barbados755151917th March
Suriname1031613th March
Curacao15411013th March
Belize18162022nd March
Guyana63486918th March
Haiti47443019th March
Bermuda864653518th March
Cayman Islands61531712th March
Covid-19 statistics as at April 19th 2020

Comments

Jamaica had an increase of 23 cases. Almost half of Jamaica’s cases are said to be associated with the call centre cluster.

Here are some links that are very interesting:

Study predicts delay in peaking of COVID-19 cases in the US

COVID-19: The Exponential Power of Now – With Prof. Nicholas Jewell

I remind members that both the SOA and the IFOA have a lot of current information that is both helpful and interesting. These and others are linked on our website’s Resources page.

Feedback welcome.

Thank you.

Shubhash Gosine

The information on this page does not necessarily reflect the opinions, standards or policies of the CAA. Data included in graphs has been obtained from several sources the accuracy of which cannot be guaranteed by the CAA. The CAA assumes no responsibility or liability for the accuracy or completeness of content contained in any linked site.

COVID-19 Update-April 19

Dear Colleagues,

Here is the current situation in the Caribbean:

CountryTotal CasesInfectedDeathsRecoveredDate of 1st reported case
World2,359,3461,590,690161,951606,7058th December
Jamaica17314352510th March
Bahamas583991015th March
Trinidad & Tobago1148582112th March
Barbados755351717th March
Suriname1031613th March
Curacao15411013th March
Belize18162022nd March
Guyana63486918th March
Haiti44413019th March
Bermuda864653518th March
Cayman Islands61531712th March
Covid-19 statistics as at April 18th 2020

Comments

Jamaica had an increase of 10 cases. There is a growing expectation that Kingston will be locked down in the coming days. The situation is being monitored very closely.

Here are some links that are very interesting:

I remind members that both the SOA and the IFOA have a lot of current information that is both helpful and interesting. These and others are linked on our website’s Resources page.

Feedback welcome.

Thank you.

Shubhash Gosine

The information on this page does not necessarily reflect the opinions, standards or policies of the CAA. Data included in graphs has been obtained from several sources the accuracy of which cannot be guaranteed by the CAA. The CAA assumes no responsibility or liability for the accuracy or completeness of content contained in any linked site.

COVID-19 Update-April 18

Dear Colleagues,

Please note that I have added other countries in the region that may be of interest to our members.

Here is the current situation in the Caribbean:

CountryTotal CasesInfectedDeathsRecoveredDate of 1st reported case
World2,276,5471,537,807156,141582,5998th December
Jamaica16313352510th March
Bahamas53398615th March
Trinidad & Tobago1148682012th March
Barbados755551517th March
Suriname1031613th March
Curacao14311013th March
Belize18162022nd March
Guyana63486918th March
Haiti44413019th March
Bermuda834353518th March
Cayman Islands61531712th March
Covid-19 statistics as at April 17th 2020

Comments

Jamaica is the only country to have had new cases; an increase of 20 cases again related primarily to the single call centre.

Here are some links that are very interesting:

Monitoring mortality in England & Wales

The Mortality Projections Committee released its first weekly monitoring report, for week 14 (ending on 3 April 2020), on 14 April. The results are striking:

  • Mortality in week 14 of 2020 was nearly 60% higher than if mortality rates were the same as week 14 of 2019.
  • The increase in deaths was considerably higher than the number of deaths that note COVID-19 on the death certificate.
  • There may have been over 25,000 more deaths by 13 April 2020 than if mortality rates were the same as in 2019; with almost all of the difference in the past month.”

I remind members that both the SOA and the IFOA have a lot of current information that is both helpful and interesting. These and others are linked on our website’s Resources page.

Feedback welcome.

Thank you.

Shubhash Gosine

The information on this page does not necessarily reflect the opinions, standards or policies of the CAA. Data included in graphs has been obtained from several sources the accuracy of which cannot be guaranteed by the CAA. The CAA assumes no responsibility or liability for the accuracy or completeness of content contained in any linked site.

COVID-19 Update-April 17

Dear Colleagues,

Betty is working with the webmaster to provide information and resource links on the CAA website. The data which I use in this brief is from Government Information Services in the Caribbean countries where we have substantial membership. We also look at other sources such as Worldometers and John Hopkins as a cross reference. The world data row is from Worldometers.

Our plan is to email information to members and make it available on the website.

I thank Jonathan Wu and Cathy Allen for their feedback.

Here is the current situation in the Caribbean:

CountryTotal CasesInfectedDeathsRecoveredDate of 1st reported case
World2,227,6781,513,272150,625563,7818th December
Jamaica14311352510th March
Bahamas53398615th March
Trinidad & Tobago1148682012th March
Barbados755551517th March
Suriname1031613th March
Curacao14311013th March
Covid-19 statistics as at April 15th 2020

Comments

Jamaica is the only country of the six to have had new cases; an increase of 18 cases related primarily to the single call centre.

A new testing technique using saliva is being tested for effectiveness. This would help improve the ability to test.

Britain has started a research pool of 5000 persons. The initial results are expected by June.

China has released new data that increases the number of deaths in Wuhan by 50%.

Singapore, who was praised in the early days, is currently struggling.

Iceland, Taiwan, South Korea and Germany are a handful of countries whose measures seem to be working. As we have seen elsewhere, that could change overnight.

Sources of comments are the BBC and the New York Times

I remind members that both the SOA and the IFOA have a lot of current information that is both helpful and interesting. These and others are linked on our website’s Resources page.

The Trinidad and Tobago actuaries are assisting the Government to model their experience and expectations.

An Australian actuary has shared online a simple but effective model that provided preliminary useful information.

Error: the world total yesterday was 2,114,846 not 2,255,996 as shown.

Thanks

Shubhash Gosine

The information on this page does not necessarily reflect the opinions, standards or policies of the CAA. Data included in graphs has been obtained from several sources the accuracy of which cannot be guaranteed by the CAA. The CAA assumes no responsibility or liability for the accuracy or completeness of content contained in any linked site.