COVID-19 Update-April 17

Dear Colleagues,

Betty is working with the webmaster to provide information and resource links on the CAA website. The data which I use in this brief is from Government Information Services in the Caribbean countries where we have substantial membership. We also look at other sources such as Worldometers and John Hopkins as a cross reference. The world data row is from Worldometers.

Our plan is to email information to members and make it available on the website.

I thank Jonathan Wu and Cathy Allen for their feedback.

Here is the current situation in the Caribbean:

CountryTotal CasesInfectedDeathsRecoveredDate of 1st reported case
World2,227,6781,513,272150,625563,7818th December
Jamaica14311352510th March
Bahamas53398615th March
Trinidad & Tobago1148682012th March
Barbados755551517th March
Suriname1031613th March
Curacao14311013th March
Covid-19 statistics as at April 15th 2020

Comments

Jamaica is the only country of the six to have had new cases; an increase of 18 cases related primarily to the single call centre.

A new testing technique using saliva is being tested for effectiveness. This would help improve the ability to test.

Britain has started a research pool of 5000 persons. The initial results are expected by June.

China has released new data that increases the number of deaths in Wuhan by 50%.

Singapore, who was praised in the early days, is currently struggling.

Iceland, Taiwan, South Korea and Germany are a handful of countries whose measures seem to be working. As we have seen elsewhere, that could change overnight.

Sources of comments are the BBC and the New York Times

I remind members that both the SOA and the IFOA have a lot of current information that is both helpful and interesting. These and others are linked on our website’s Resources page.

The Trinidad and Tobago actuaries are assisting the Government to model their experience and expectations.

An Australian actuary has shared online a simple but effective model that provided preliminary useful information.

Error: the world total yesterday was 2,114,846 not 2,255,996 as shown.

Thanks

Shubhash Gosine

The information on this page does not necessarily reflect the opinions, standards or policies of the CAA. Data included in graphs has been obtained from several sources the accuracy of which cannot be guaranteed by the CAA. The CAA assumes no responsibility or liability for the accuracy or completeness of content contained in any linked site.

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